What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Kevin Hern

Closes Jun 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $12 Open interest $4.2K Event Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner

100%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 88 days · High 99% · Low 82% · 7d +0.4pp · 30d +5.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.