polymarket
Politics
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
implied YES probability
-0.7pp 24h
Price history
Last 6 days ·
High 14% ·
Low 4%
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Gold Holds Gain as US, Iran Prepare to Sign Interim Peace Deal
Bloomberg Markets · 5h ago
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U.S. and Iran Digitally Sign Peace Deal to Reopen Strait of Hormuz
OilPrice · 15h ago
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US Set to Offer Iran Broad Financial Gains in Peace Deal
Bloomberg Markets · 1h ago
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Gold extends gains for 5th day as Iran deal eases inflation jitters; Fed eyed
Investing.com · 2h ago
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Oil dips as investors weigh deal on Iran war as uncertainty persists on Hormuz
Investing.com · 3h ago
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