What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

Closes Jul 14, 2026 (4d) 24h volume $135 Open interest $13.1K Event Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 52 days · High 6% · Low 1% · 7d +35.3pp · 30d -4.2pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.