polymarket
Sports
Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Iran
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 51 days ·
High 4% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -51.8pp
· 30d -13.3pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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US Draft Deal Includes Financial Incentives for Iran | Balance of Power: Late Edition 06/16/2026
Bloomberg Politics · 4h ago
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The U.S. And Iran Reach Tentative Deal To End Hostilities, But Risks Remain
Seeking Alpha News · 8h ago
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BMW cuts 2026 outlook on China downturn, Iran war
Investing.com · 11h ago
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SpaceX Shares Surge, US & Iran Prepare for Deal Signing | The Opening Trade 6/16/2026
Bloomberg Markets · 16h ago
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.