polymarket Politics

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Closes Aug 04, 2026 (25d) 24h volume $332 Open interest $11.4K Event WA-03 Primary Winners
92%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 90 days · High 98% · Low 72% · 7d -3.6pp · 30d +0.7pp
98%72%

How this market resolves

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Other outcomes in this event

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.