polymarket
Politics
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?
Stable / Stability
81%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 9 days ·
High 80% ·
Low 55%
· 7d +17.6pp
How this market resolves
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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What will Kevin Warsh say in his first FOMC press conference?
Seeking Alpha · 11h ago
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Kevin Warsh's first Fed press conference looms as inflation surge makes rate cuts increasingly unlikely
Fox Business Latest · 17h ago
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