What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 24, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Axel Kicillof

Closes Oct 24, 2027 (493d) 24h volume $1.8K Open interest $38.6K Event Argentina Presidential Election Winner

38%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 47 days · High 45% · Low 26% · 7d -7.4pp · 30d +10.3pp

How this market resolves

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Other outcomes in this event

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