What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?…

Price history

Last 90 days · High 84% · Low 29% · 7d -10.5pp · 30d -22.4pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent news mentioning this market

Former Fed insiders raise new rate-hike concerns
TheStreet · 4h ago
Countdown To Fed Rate Decision | The Close 6/16/2026
Bloomberg Politics · 5h ago
Chile Central Bank Holds Key Rate at 4.5% and Sees More Balanced Inflation Risks
Bloomberg Economics · 5h ago
Citadel Securities sees growing possibility of rate hike in September
Investing.com · 7h ago
Will a 2026 Fed Interest Rate Increase Help or Hurt Retirees?
Motley Fool · 8h ago

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Price history

How this market resolves

Recent news mentioning this market

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