What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Nancy Mace

Closes Jun 09, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $148 Open interest $124.2K Event South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 47% · Low 0% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -99.7pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.