What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Jerry Demings

Closes Aug 18, 2026 (61d) 24h volume $14 Open interest $5.5K Event Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

implied YES probability

+2.4pp 24h

Price history

Last 88 days · High 19% · Low 0% · 7d +200.0pp · 30d -80.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.