polymarket
World
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
24%
implied YES probability
+4.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 32% ·
Low 16%
· 7d +43.8pp
· 30d +27.8pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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