polymarket
Politics
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
Japan
8%
implied YES probability
-1.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 89 days ·
High 29% ·
Low 4%
· 7d +50.0pp
· 30d -40.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Thailand and Malaysia Reach Deal to End Seafood Trade Spat
Bloomberg Markets · 9h ago
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Japan stocks higher at close of trade; Nikkei 225 up 1.55%
Investing.com · 11h ago
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