What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 14, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

J.D. Vance

Closes Aug 14, 2028 (766d) 24h volume $715 Open interest $3.8K Event Republican VP Nominee 2028

12%

implied YES probability

+5.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 38 days · High 13% · Low 6% · 7d +91.7pp · 30d +21.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Other outcomes in this event

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