What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?

Marco Rubio

Closes Jul 08, 2026 (20d) 24h volume $1 Open interest $16.2K Event Who will attend the NATO Summit?

90%

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 13 days · High 93% · Low 50% · 7d +1.7pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.