polymarket Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

10 outcomes · Closes Dec 31, 2026 · 24h volume $247

Outcomes & current odds

400-500k
50%
$10
300-400k
20%
$10
500-600k
16%
$157
200-300k
10%
$10
>1m
2%
$10
<200k
2%
$10
600-700k
2%
$10
700-800k
1%
$10
900k-1m
1%
$10
800-900k
1%
$10

How this event resolves

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Summary

SourcePolymarket
Outcomes10
Total 24h volume$247
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Leader
50% YES