polymarket
Politics
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
<200k
2%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 89 days ·
High 11% ·
Low 2%
· 7d -4.2pp
· 30d -6.1pp
How this market resolves
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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