What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Jared Polis

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (540d) 24h volume 3 Open interest 6.0K Event Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

38%

implied YES probability

Last 39 days · High 56% · Low 37% · 7d -18.4pp · 30d -18.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.