What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 77%, implying a 77% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Rahm Emanuel

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (540d) 24h volume 1.0K Open interest 11.5K Event Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

77%

implied YES probability

+7.0pp 24h

Last 47 days · High 80% · Low 65% · 7d +2.7pp · 30d +5.6pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.