What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Nikki Haley

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (540d) 24h volume 106 Open interest 4.5K Event Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

18%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 35 days · High 43% · Low 20% · 7d -29.0pp · 30d -40.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.