What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Thomas Massie

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (540d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 7.5K Event Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

42%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 43 days · High 49% · Low 24% · 7d -6.2pp · 30d +21.6pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.