What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 74%, implying a 74% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 27K

Closes Aug 23, 2026 (44d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 186 Event Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

74%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 96% · Low 69%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.