What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 50K

Closes Aug 23, 2026 (44d) 24h volume 70 Open interest 180 Event Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

56%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 59% · Low 52%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.