What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 30K

Closes Aug 23, 2026 (44d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 189 Event Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

72%

implied YES probability

-14.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 99% · Low 64% · 7d -25.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.