What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 300K

Closes Aug 09, 2026 (53d) 24h volume 339 Open interest 936 Event petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

52%

implied YES probability

-11.0pp 24h

Last 29 days · High 60% · Low 31% · 7d +36.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.