What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 400K

Closes Aug 09, 2026 (53d) 24h volume 3 Open interest 743 Event petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

24%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 32% · Low 18% · 7d -15.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.