What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 43%, implying a 43% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 350K

Closes Aug 09, 2026 (53d) 24h volume 346 Open interest 791 Event petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

43%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 25 days · High 48% · Low 32% · 7d +14.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.