kalshi Politics

Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026?

Before Aug 1, 2026
Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 36.9K Open interest 73.5K Event Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
8%
implied YES probability
+8.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 9 days · High 44% · Low 4% · 7d -79.0pp
44%4%

Other outcomes in this event

Before Jul 1, 2027
62% YES
24h vol 3
Before Jan 1, 2027
29% YES
24h vol 82
Before Oct 1, 2026
14% YES
24h vol 3.6K

Recent news mentioning this market

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
29.0¢ 59 30.0¢ 62
28.0¢ 999 32.0¢ 200
26.0¢ 50 34.0¢ 169
25.0¢ 6 37.0¢ 500
17.0¢ 550 43.0¢ 44
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 29.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.