What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Oct 1, 2026

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (83d) 24h volume 3.6K Open interest 19.2K Event Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

14%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 41% · Low 14% · 7d -46.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.