What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 48%, implying a 48% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 400M

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (199d) 24h volume 11 Open interest 276 Event Chris Lake Streams in 2026

48%

implied YES probability

Last 20 days · High 86% · Low 43% · 7d +2.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.