What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 450M

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (199d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 127 Event Chris Lake Streams in 2026

34%

implied YES probability

+7.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 37% · Low 29%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.