What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 625.0M

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (199d) 24h volume 41 Open interest 71 Event Chris Lake Streams in 2026

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 12% · Low 5%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.