What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 9.4K Event Which bills will become law in 2026?

implied YES probability

+3.3pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 10% · Low 1% · 7d -62.7pp · 30d -52.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.