What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

SHOWER Act

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 335 Open interest 4.5K Event Which bills will become law in 2026?

5%

implied YES probability

-2.1pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 24% · Low 7% · 7d -65.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.