What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before July 18, 2026

Closes Jul 25, 2026 (15d) 24h volume 151 Open interest 20.4K Event Andy Burnham appointed as Prime Minister?

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 93% · Low 6% · 7d -27.3pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 6.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.