What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before August 1, 2026

Closes Aug 08, 2026 (29d) 24h volume 15 Open interest 2.0K Event Andy Burnham appointed as Prime Minister?

92%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 92% · Low 61% · 7d -5.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.