What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jul 2026

Closes Jul 02, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 133 Open interest 513 Event When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

8%

implied YES probability

Last 12 days · High 27% · Low 10% · 7d -34.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.