What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 48%, implying a 48% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Sep 2026

Closes Sep 02, 2026 (76d) 24h volume 2 Open interest 775 Event When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

48%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 51% · Low 37% · 7d +8.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.