What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 35%, implying a 35% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike 1-25bps

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 133 Open interest 1.8K Event Bank of England rate decision in June

35%

implied YES probability

-10.0pp 24h

Last 34 days · High 45% · Low 1% · 7d +550.0pp · 30d -10.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.