What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike more than 25bps

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 270 Open interest 3.0K Event Bank of England rate decision in June

2%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 13% · Low 1% · 7d -25.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.