What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Maintain current rate

Closes Jul 23, 2026 (36d) 24h volume 271 Open interest 2.6K Event European Central Bank rate decision in July

88%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 91% · Low 80%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.