What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Cut 1-25bps

Closes Jul 06, 2026 (19d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 1.3K Event Bank of Israel rate decision in July

90%

implied YES probability

+23.0pp 24h

Last 22 days · High 68% · Low 16% · 7d +26.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.