What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Maintain current rate

Closes Jul 06, 2026 (19d) 24h volume 445 Open interest 2.7K Event Bank of Israel rate decision in July

11%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 26 days · High 80% · Low 12% · 7d -51.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.