What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 0.5%

Closes Nov 10, 2026 (146d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 225 Event CPI in October

26%

implied YES probability

Last 43 days · High 40% · Low 16% · 7d -8.3pp · 30d -4.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.