What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.2%

Closes Aug 12, 2026 (56d) 24h volume 130 Open interest 7.9K Event Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

8%

implied YES probability

Last 20 days · High 93% · Low 15% · 7d -60.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.