What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 70%, implying a 70% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

above 195000

Closes Aug 28, 2026 (72d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 353 Event Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2

70%

implied YES probability

-7.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 79% · Low 74% · 7d -3.9pp

CVNA Carvana Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.