What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

above 200000

Closes Aug 28, 2026 (72d) 24h volume 22 Open interest 1.1K Event Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2

40%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 62% · Low 42% · 7d -6.0pp

CVNA Carvana Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.