kalshi
Economics
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 10%?
Above 10%
9%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 14 days ·
High 72% ·
Low 8%
· 7d -60.0pp
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