kalshi Economics

Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 10%?

Above 10%
Closes Jul 30, 2026 (20d) 24h volume 16 Open interest 1.4K Event US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026
9%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 14 days · High 72% · Low 8% · 7d -60.0pp
72%8%

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