kalshi
Economics
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 5%?
Above 5%
86%
implied YES probability
+9.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 12 days ·
High 97% ·
Low 63%
· 7d +21.5pp
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