What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Movie/Limited Actor at the 78th Emmy Awards?

Jason Bateman

Closes Jul 08, 2027 (386d) 24h volume 111 Open interest 538 Event Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

38%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 3 days · High 56% · Low 41%

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.