What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will Paul Anthony Kelly be on the list of nominees for Movie/Limited Actor at the 78th Emmy Awards?

Paul Anthony Kelly

Closes Jul 08, 2027 (386d) 24h volume 18 Open interest 304 Event Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

68%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 4 days · High 79% · Low 51%

Other outcomes in this event

Trade on Kalshi

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.